1
71%
Home Win
1.41
X
16%
Draw
6.34
2
13%
Away Win
7.64
xG Home
2.71
xG Away
1.11
Over 2.5 Goals
73%
BTTS
62%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Lokomotiv Moscow an expected 2.7 goals and Akron an expected 1.1 goals. Lokomotiv Moscow have a 71% win probability, draw stands at 16%, and Akron at 13%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 73%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:1
8.9%
2:0
8.1%
3:1
8.1%
3:0
7.3%
1:1
6.6%
1:0
6%
4:1
5.5%
2:2
5%
4:0
4.9%
3:2
4.5%
1:2
3.7%
4:2
3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Lokomotiv Moscow Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 71% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.41 |
| Market Odds | 1.5 |
Team Comparison
| Lokomotiv Moscow | Akron | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | League Position | 13 |
| 53 | Points | 27 |
| 47% | Win % | 20% |
| 1.8 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.17 |
| 1.3 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.77 |
