1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.20
xG Away
1.38
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
BTTS
52%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Lille an expected 1.2 goals and Lens an expected 1.4 goals. Lille have a 33% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Lens at 41%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 52%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.5%
0:1
10.4%
1:0
9.1%
1:2
8.7%
0:0
7.5%
2:1
7.5%
0:2
7.2%
2:0
5.4%
2:2
5.2%
1:3
4%
0:3
3.3%
3:1
3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Lens Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 41% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.44 |
| Market Odds | 2.59 |
Team Comparison
| Lille | Lens | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | League Position | 2 |
| 61 | Points | 70 |
| 53% | Win % | 65% |
| 1.53 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.94 |
| 1.09 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.03 |
Venue Form
Lille at Home
W1
D2
L0
(3 games)
Lens Away
W0
D3
L1
(4 games)
Recent Form
Lille
W
D
D
Lens
L
D
D
D
