LE Havre AC vs Paris Saint Germain Prediction

0 – 1
Most Likely Score
Fri, 30 Oct 2026 · Ligue 1
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 0.61
xG Away 1.84
Over 2.5 Goals 44%
BTTS 39%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives LE Havre AC an expected 0.6 goals and Paris Saint Germain an expected 1.8 goals. LE Havre AC have a 12% win probability, draw stands at 21%, and Paris Saint Germain at 67%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 56%.

Correct Score Predictions

0:1 15.8%
0:2 14.6%
1:1 9.7%
0:3 9%
1:2 8.9%
0:0 8.6%
1:3 5.5%
1:0 5.3%
0:4 4.1%
2:1 3%
2:2 2.7%
1:4 2.5%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Paris Saint Germain Win
Probability 67%
Predicted Odds 1.49
Market Odds 1.59

Team Comparison

LE Havre AC Paris Saint Germain
14 League Position 1
35 Points 76
21% Win % 71%
0.94 Avg Goals Scored 2.18
1.29 Avg Goals Conceded 0.85

Venue Form

LE Havre AC at Home
W0 D2 L2 (4 games)
0% win rate
Paris Saint Germain Away
W4 D0 L0 (4 games)
100% win rate

Recent Form

LE Havre AC
L L D D
Paris Saint Germain
W W W W