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Krylya Sovetov vs Orenburg — Prediction

1 – 1
Most likely score (model)
Sun, 08 Nov 2026 · Russian Premier League
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
8 Nov 2026, 11:00 UTC
Competition
Russian Premier League
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

Krylya Sovetov
  • Krylya Sovetov 0–3 Zenit Saint Petersburg
  • Rubin 0–2 Krylya Sovetov
  • Krylya Sovetov 1–2 Fakel Voronezh
  • Lokomotiv Moscow 1–1 Krylya Sovetov
  • Krylya Sovetov 2–1 Rodina Moskva
Orenburg
  • Orenburg 0–0 CSKA Moscow
  • Akhmat Grozny 0–1 Orenburg
  • Rodina Moskva 2–2 Orenburg
  • Dinamo Moscow 1–0 Orenburg
  • Orenburg 2–2 Akron
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: Krylya Sovetov 30 · Orenburg 30. Data saved: 2026-11-07 02:00 UTC.

The season of the saved table is not identified; these figures must not be read as current-season totals.

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: Krylya Sovetov 46% · 2026-11-07 02:40 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

Model goal expectation · 1 1.46
Model goal expectation · 2 1.18
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
BTTS 53%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: Krylya Sovetov 1.46 · Orenburg 1.18.
1 44% · X 26% · 2 31%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 12.3%
1:0 10.5%
2:1 9%
0:1 8.5%
2:0 7.6%
1:2 7.2%
0:0 7.2%
2:2 5.3%
0:2 5%
3:1 4.4%
3:0 3.7%
1:3 2.8%

About this assessment

Model outcome Krylya Sovetov Win
Probability 44%
Predicted Odds 2.27

Team Comparison

Krylya Sovetov Orenburg
11 League Position 12
32 Points 29
27% Win % 23%
1.17 Avg Goals Scored 0.97
1.67 Avg Goals Conceded 1.47

Venue Form

Krylya Sovetov at Home
W1 D0 L2 (3 games)
33% win rate
Orenburg Away
W1 D1 L1 (3 games)
33% win rate

Recent Form

Krylya Sovetov
L W L D W
Orenburg
D W D L D

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A practical guide to the information shown here.

01

Read the selected market

A match-winner selection and a goal total answer different questions. Read the outcome before comparing percentages.

02

Check the recording time

A saved estimate belongs to its recording time. Check kickoff and the available match context separately.

03

Inspect comparable outcomes

Use a defined period, sample and market when comparing results. A probability is not a historical hit rate.

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Questions about this context

Answers to help interpret the available information.

Are these probabilities a guarantee?

No. A probability describes a model estimate for a particular selection and recording time; the actual match can finish differently.

Why might this page have no related saved forecasts?

Only relevant fixtures with a verified saved record are shown. The match and prediction catalogues may contain other available information.