1
47%
Home Win
2.13
X
30%
Draw
3.36
2
23%
Away Win
4.29
xG Home
1.22
xG Away
0.77
Over 2.5 Goals
32%
BTTS
38%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Krylya Sovetov an expected 1.2 goals and Makhachkala an expected 0.8 goals. Krylya Sovetov have a 47% win probability, draw stands at 30%, and Makhachkala at 23%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 68%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
16.7%
0:0
13.6%
1:1
12.8%
0:1
10.5%
2:0
10.2%
2:1
7.9%
1:2
4.9%
3:0
4.2%
0:2
4%
3:1
3.2%
2:2
3%
4:0
1.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Krylya Sovetov Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 47% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.13 |
| Market Odds | 2.26 |
Team Comparison
| Krylya Sovetov | Makhachkala | |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | League Position | 14 |
| 32 | Points | 26 |
| 27% | Win % | 17% |
| 1.17 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.63 |
| 1.67 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.23 |
