1
70%
Home Win
1.42
X
21%
Draw
4.79
2
9%
Away Win
11.4
xG Home
1.82
xG Away
0.47
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
BTTS
31%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Krasnodar an expected 1.8 goals and FC Rostov an expected 0.5 goals. Krasnodar have a 70% win probability, draw stands at 21%, and FC Rostov at 9%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 60%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
18.5%
2:0
16.8%
0:0
10.2%
3:0
10.2%
1:1
8.6%
2:1
7.8%
0:1
4.8%
3:1
4.7%
4:0
4.6%
4:1
2.2%
1:2
2%
2:2
1.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Krasnodar Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 70% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.43 |
| Market Odds | 1.52 |
Team Comparison
| Krasnodar | FC Rostov | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | League Position | 10 |
| 66 | Points | 33 |
| 67% | Win % | 27% |
| 2 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.83 |
| 0.77 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.07 |
Venue Form
Krasnodar at Home
W1
D0
L0
(1 games)
FC Rostov Away
W1
D0
L0
(1 games)
Recent Form
Krasnodar
W
FC Rostov
W
