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Lokomotiv Moscow vs Rubin — Prediction

1 – 0
Most likely score (model)
Fri, 06 Nov 2026 · Russian Premier League
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
6 Nov 2026, 16:30 UTC
Competition
Russian Premier League
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

Lokomotiv Moscow
  • Lokomotiv Moscow 0–4 Spartak Moscow
  • FC Rostov 2–0 Lokomotiv Moscow
  • Lokomotiv Moscow 3–3 Krasnodar
  • Lokomotiv Moscow 1–1 Krylya Sovetov
  • Zenit Saint Petersburg 2–1 Lokomotiv Moscow
Rubin
  • Rubin 1–0 Fakel Voronezh
  • Rubin 0–2 Krylya Sovetov
  • Spartak Moscow 4–0 Rubin
  • Rodina Moskva 1–1 Rubin
  • CSKA Moscow 1–1 Rubin
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: Lokomotiv Moscow 30 · Rubin 30. Data saved: 2026-11-05 02:01 UTC.

The season of the saved table is not identified; these figures must not be read as current-season totals.

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: Lokomotiv Moscow 63% · 2026-11-05 02:00 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

Model goal expectation · 1 1.53
Model goal expectation · 2 0.92
Over 2.5 Goals 44%
BTTS 47%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: Lokomotiv Moscow 1.53 · Rubin 0.92.
1 52% · X 26% · 2 23%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:0 13.2%
1:1 12.1%
2:0 10.1%
2:1 9.3%
0:0 8.6%
0:1 7.9%
1:2 5.6%
3:0 5.2%
3:1 4.7%
2:2 4.3%
0:2 3.6%
3:2 2.2%

About this assessment

Model outcome Lokomotiv Moscow Win
Probability 52%
Predicted Odds 1.92

Team Comparison

Lokomotiv Moscow Rubin
3 League Position 8
53 Points 43
47% Win % 37%
1.8 Avg Goals Scored 0.97
1.3 Avg Goals Conceded 1

Venue Form

Lokomotiv Moscow at Home
W0 D2 L1 (3 games)
0% win rate
Rubin Away
W0 D2 L1 (3 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Lokomotiv Moscow
L L D D L
Rubin
W L L D D