1
73%
Home Win
1.37
X
17%
Draw
5.74
2
9%
Away Win
10.55
xG Home
2.21
xG Away
0.65
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
BTTS
43%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Krasnodar an expected 2.2 goals and Akhmat Grozny an expected 0.7 goals. Krasnodar have a 73% win probability, draw stands at 17%, and Akhmat Grozny at 9%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 55%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:0
13.9%
1:0
12.6%
3:0
10.3%
2:1
9.1%
1:1
8.2%
3:1
6.7%
0:0
5.7%
4:0
5.7%
0:1
3.7%
4:1
3.7%
2:2
3%
1:2
2.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Krasnodar Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 73% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.37 |
| Market Odds | 1.46 |
Team Comparison
| Krasnodar | Akhmat Grozny | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | League Position | 9 |
| 66 | Points | 37 |
| 67% | Win % | 30% |
| 2 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.17 |
| 0.77 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.3 |
Venue Form
Krasnodar at Home
W1
D0
L0
(1 games)
Recent Form
Krasnodar
W
