1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.09
xG Away
0.90
Over 2.5 Goals
32%
BTTS
39%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Kifisia an expected 1.1 goals and Aris Thessaloniki an expected 0.9 goals. Kifisia have a 39% win probability, draw stands at 31%, and Aris Thessaloniki at 30%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 68%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
14.8%
0:0
13.7%
1:1
13.4%
0:1
12.4%
2:0
8.1%
2:1
7.3%
1:2
6.1%
0:2
5.6%
2:2
3.3%
3:0
2.9%
3:1
2.6%
1:3
1.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Kifisia Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 39% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.56 |
| Market Odds | 2.73 |
Team Comparison
| Kifisia | Aris Thessaloniki | |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | League Position | 8 |
| 27 | Points | 30 |
| 23% | Win % | 23% |
| 1.23 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.77 |
| 1.62 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.04 |
Venue Form
Kifisia at Home
W1
D1
L0
(2 games)
Aris Thessaloniki Away
W0
D0
L2
(2 games)
Recent Form
Kifisia
D
W
Aris Thessaloniki
L
L
