1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.05
xG Away
1.36
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
BTTS
48%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Kasımpaşa an expected 1.0 goals and Samsunspor an expected 1.4 goals. Kasımpaşa have a 29% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and Samsunspor at 44%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 57%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.8%
0:1
12.3%
1:0
9.4%
0:0
9%
1:2
8.7%
0:2
8.3%
2:1
6.7%
2:0
4.9%
2:2
4.6%
1:3
4%
0:3
3.8%
3:1
2.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Samsunspor Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 44% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.27 |
| Market Odds | 2.42 |
Team Comparison
| Kasımpaşa | Samsunspor | |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | League Position | 7 |
| 35 | Points | 51 |
| 24% | Win % | 38% |
| 0.97 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.35 |
| 1.44 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.32 |
Venue Form
Kasımpaşa at Home
W1
D3
L0
(4 games)
Samsunspor Away
W2
D0
L3
(5 games)
Recent Form
Kasımpaşa
D
D
D
W
Samsunspor
L
L
L
W
W
