1
46%
Home Win
2.19
X
26%
Draw
3.89
2
29%
Away Win
3.5
xG Home
1.50
xG Away
1.13
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
BTTS
52%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Kashiwa Reysol an expected 1.5 goals and Kyoto Sanga an expected 1.1 goals. Kashiwa Reysol have a 46% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Kyoto Sanga at 29%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 51%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.2%
1:0
10.8%
2:1
9.2%
0:1
8.2%
2:0
8.1%
0:0
7.2%
1:2
6.9%
2:2
5.2%
0:2
4.6%
3:1
4.6%
3:0
4.1%
1:3
2.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Kashiwa Reysol Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 50% |
| Predicted Odds | 2 |
| Market Odds | 2.13 |
Team Comparison
| Kashiwa Reysol | Kyoto Sanga | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | League Position | 3 |
| 75 | Points | 68 |
| 55% | Win % | 50% |
| 1.58 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.63 |
| 0.89 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.05 |
Venue Form
Kashiwa Reysol at Home
W1
D1
L4
(6 games)
Kyoto Sanga Away
W1
D1
L3
(5 games)
Recent Form
Kashiwa Reysol
L
W
L
L
L
Kyoto Sanga
W
L
L
D
L
Head to Head
Kyoto Sanga
2 : 6
Kashiwa Reysol
W
Kashiwa Reysol
3 : 3
Kyoto Sanga
D
Kyoto Sanga
1 : 1
Kashiwa Reysol
D