1
36%
Home Win
2.77
X
24%
Draw
4.12
2
40%
Away Win
2.52
xG Home
1.46
xG Away
1.54
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
BTTS
60%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives FC Tokyo an expected 1.5 goals and Cerezo Osaka an expected 1.5 goals. FC Tokyo have a 36% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Cerezo Osaka at 40%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 58%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.2%
1:2
8.6%
2:1
8.2%
0:1
7.7%
1:0
7.3%
2:2
6.3%
0:2
5.9%
2:0
5.3%
0:0
5%
1:3
4.4%
3:1
4%
2:3
3.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | FC Tokyo Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 35% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.86 |
| Market Odds | 3.04 |
Team Comparison
| FC Tokyo | Cerezo Osaka | |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | League Position | 10 |
| 50 | Points | 52 |
| 34% | Win % | 37% |
| 1.08 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.58 |
| 1.26 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.5 |
Venue Form
FC Tokyo at Home
W4
D0
L2
(6 games)
Cerezo Osaka Away
W2
D1
L2
(5 games)
Recent Form
FC Tokyo
W
L
W
L
W
Cerezo Osaka
L
W
D
L
W
Head to Head
Cerezo Osaka
2 : 2
FC Tokyo
D
FC Tokyo
2 : 1
Cerezo Osaka
L
FC Tokyo
2 : 2
Cerezo Osaka
D
