1
68%
Home Win
1.48
X
20%
Draw
5.04
2
12%
Away Win
8.05
xG Home
2.03
xG Away
0.73
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
BTTS
45%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Kashima an expected 2.0 goals and Nagoya Grampus an expected 0.7 goals. Kashima have a 68% win probability, draw stands at 20%, and Nagoya Grampus at 12%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 52%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:0
13%
1:0
12.9%
2:1
9.5%
1:1
9.4%
3:0
8.8%
3:1
6.4%
0:0
6.4%
0:1
4.6%
4:0
4.5%
2:2
3.5%
1:2
3.4%
4:1
3.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Kashima Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 68% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.47 |
| Market Odds | 1.56 |
Team Comparison
| Kashima | Nagoya Grampus | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 16 |
| 76 | Points | 43 |
| 61% | Win % | 29% |
| 1.53 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.16 |
| 0.82 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.47 |
Venue Form
Kashima at Home
W4
D0
L0
(4 games)
Nagoya Grampus Away
W2
D0
L2
(4 games)
Recent Form
Kashima
W
W
W
W
Nagoya Grampus
L
W
W
L
