1
31%
Home Win
3.27
X
32%
Draw
3.15
2
38%
Away Win
2.66
xG Home
0.88
xG Away
1.01
Over 2.5 Goals
30%
BTTS
37%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Jeju United FC an expected 0.9 goals and Incheon United an expected 1.0 goals. Jeju United FC have a 31% win probability, draw stands at 32%, and Incheon United at 38%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 70%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
15.2%
0:0
15%
1:1
13.4%
1:0
13.2%
0:2
7.7%
1:2
6.8%
2:1
5.9%
2:0
5.8%
2:2
3%
0:3
2.6%
1:3
2.3%
3:1
1.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Incheon United Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 38% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.63 |
| Market Odds | 2.8 |
Team Comparison
| Jeju United FC | Incheon United | |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | League Position | 7 |
| 24 | Points | 27 |
| 32% | Win % | 42% |
| 0.89 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.26 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.05 |
Venue Form
Jeju United FC at Home
W1
D2
L0
(3 games)
Incheon United Away
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Recent Form
Jeju United FC
D
W
D
Incheon United
W
L
