1
45%
Home Win
2.23
X
31%
Draw
3.23
2
24%
Away Win
4.11
xG Home
1.15
xG Away
0.76
Over 2.5 Goals
30%
BTTS
36%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Jeju United FC an expected 1.1 goals and Gimcheon Sangmu FC an expected 0.8 goals. Jeju United FC have a 45% win probability, draw stands at 31%, and Gimcheon Sangmu FC at 24%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 70%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
17%
0:0
14.9%
1:1
13%
0:1
11.3%
2:0
9.8%
2:1
7.4%
1:2
4.9%
0:2
4.3%
3:0
3.7%
3:1
2.8%
2:2
2.8%
1:3
1.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Jeju United FC Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Jeju United FC | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | League Position | 11 |
| 24 | Points | 17 |
| 32% | Win % | 11% |
| 0.89 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.95 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.37 |
Venue Form
Jeju United FC at Home
W1
D2
L0
(3 games)
Gimcheon Sangmu FC Away
W0
D1
L1
(2 games)
Recent Form
Jeju United FC
D
W
D
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
D
L
