1
32%
Home Win
3.14
X
31%
Draw
3.19
2
37%
Away Win
2.72
xG Home
0.92
xG Away
1.01
Over 2.5 Goals
31%
BTTS
38%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Jeju United FC an expected 0.9 goals and Daejeon Hana Citizen an expected 1.0 goals. Jeju United FC have a 32% win probability, draw stands at 31%, and Daejeon Hana Citizen at 37%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 69%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
14.6%
0:0
14.4%
1:1
13.5%
1:0
13.3%
0:2
7.4%
1:2
6.8%
2:1
6.2%
2:0
6.1%
2:2
3.2%
0:3
2.5%
1:3
2.3%
3:1
1.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Daejeon Hana Citizen Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 37% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.7 |
| Market Odds | 2.88 |
Team Comparison
| Jeju United FC | Daejeon Hana Citizen | |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | League Position | 10 |
| 19 | Points | 17 |
| 31% | Win % | 25% |
| 0.88 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.19 |
| 1.06 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.13 |