1
23%
Home Win
4.32
X
30%
Draw
3.35
2
47%
Away Win
2.13
xG Home
0.76
xG Away
1.22
Over 2.5 Goals
32%
BTTS
38%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Independ. Rivadavia an expected 0.8 goals and Unión Santa Fe an expected 1.2 goals. Independ. Rivadavia have a 23% win probability, draw stands at 30%, and Unión Santa Fe at 47%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 68%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
16.8%
0:0
13.7%
1:1
12.8%
1:0
10.5%
0:2
10.3%
1:2
7.8%
2:1
4.9%
0:3
4.2%
2:0
4%
1:3
3.2%
2:2
3%
0:4
1.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Unión Santa Fe Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 47% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.13 |
| Market Odds | 2.26 |
Team Comparison
| Independ. Rivadavia | Unión Santa Fe | |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | League Position | 2 |
| 16 | Points | 25 |
| 19% | Win % | 38% |
| 0.88 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.25 |
| 1.06 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.81 |
Venue Form
Independ. Rivadavia at Home
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Unión Santa Fe Away
W1
D2
L1
(4 games)
Recent Form
Independ. Rivadavia
L
W
Unión Santa Fe
D
L
W
D
