1
27%
Home Win
3.64
X
33%
Draw
3.01
2
39%
Away Win
2.54
xG Home
0.76
xG Away
0.98
Over 2.5 Goals
25%
BTTS
33%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Independ. Rivadavia an expected 0.8 goals and Racing Club an expected 1.0 goals. Independ. Rivadavia have a 27% win probability, draw stands at 33%, and Racing Club at 39%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 75%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:0
17.5%
0:1
17.1%
1:0
13.4%
1:1
13.1%
0:2
8.4%
1:2
6.4%
2:0
5.1%
2:1
5%
0:3
2.7%
2:2
2.5%
1:3
2.1%
3:0
1.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Racing Club Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 39% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.56 |
| Market Odds | 2.73 |
Team Comparison
| Independ. Rivadavia | Racing Club | |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | League Position | 3 |
| 16 | Points | 25 |
| 19% | Win % | 44% |
| 0.88 | Avg Goals Scored | 1 |
| 1.06 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.81 |
Venue Form
Independ. Rivadavia at Home
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Racing Club Away
W1
D2
L1
(4 games)
Recent Form
Independ. Rivadavia
L
W
Racing Club
D
W
D
L
