1
57%
Home Win
1.76
X
25%
Draw
4.04
2
18%
Away Win
5.43
xG Home
1.62
xG Away
0.80
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
BTTS
44%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Incheon United an expected 1.6 goals and Gimcheon Sangmu FC an expected 0.8 goals. Incheon United have a 57% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Gimcheon Sangmu FC at 18%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 56%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
14.4%
2:0
11.7%
1:1
11.5%
2:1
9.3%
0:0
8.9%
0:1
7.1%
3:0
6.3%
3:1
5%
1:2
4.6%
2:2
3.7%
0:2
2.9%
4:0
2.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Incheon United Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 57% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.75 |
| Market Odds | 1.87 |
Team Comparison
| Incheon United | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | League Position | 11 |
| 27 | Points | 17 |
| 42% | Win % | 11% |
| 1.26 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.95 |
| 1.05 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.37 |
Venue Form
Incheon United at Home
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Gimcheon Sangmu FC Away
W0
D1
L1
(2 games)
Recent Form
Incheon United
W
L
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
D
L
