1
43%
Home Win
2.3
X
26%
Draw
3.87
2
31%
Away Win
3.25
xG Home
1.46
xG Away
1.19
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
BTTS
53%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Incheon United an expected 1.5 goals and FC Anyang an expected 1.2 goals. Incheon United have a 43% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and FC Anyang at 31%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 51%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.3%
1:0
10.3%
2:1
9%
0:1
8.4%
2:0
7.6%
1:2
7.3%
0:0
7.1%
2:2
5.3%
0:2
5%
3:1
4.4%
3:0
3.7%
1:3
2.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Incheon United Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 43% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.33 |
| Market Odds | 2.47 |
Team Comparison
| Incheon United | FC Anyang | |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | League Position | 7 |
| 21 | Points | 20 |
| 38% | Win % | 25% |
| 1.31 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.31 |
| 1.13 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.19 |
