1
43%
Home Win
2.3
X
29%
Draw
3.47
2
28%
Away Win
3.6
xG Home
1.24
xG Away
0.93
Over 2.5 Goals
37%
BTTS
43%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Incheon United an expected 1.2 goals and Daejeon Hana Citizen an expected 0.9 goals. Incheon United have a 43% win probability, draw stands at 29%, and Daejeon Hana Citizen at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 63%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
14.1%
1:1
13.2%
0:0
11.3%
0:1
10.6%
2:0
8.8%
2:1
8.2%
1:2
6.1%
0:2
4.9%
2:2
3.8%
3:0
3.6%
3:1
3.4%
1:3
1.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Incheon United Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 43% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.33 |
| Market Odds | 2.47 |
Team Comparison
| Incheon United | Daejeon Hana Citizen | |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | League Position | 9 |
| 27 | Points | 20 |
| 42% | Win % | 21% |
| 1.26 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.11 |
| 1.05 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.05 |
Venue Form
Incheon United at Home
W2
D0
L1
(3 games)
Daejeon Hana Citizen Away
W1
D2
L0
(3 games)
Recent Form
Incheon United
W
W
L
Daejeon Hana Citizen
W
D
D
