1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
2.40
xG Away
0.85
Over 2.5 Goals
63%
BTTS
52%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Hibernian an expected 2.4 goals and Kilmarnock an expected 0.9 goals. Hibernian have a 72% win probability, draw stands at 17%, and Kilmarnock at 11%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 63%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:0
11.2%
2:1
9.5%
1:0
9.3%
3:0
8.9%
1:1
7.9%
3:1
7.6%
4:0
5.4%
4:1
4.6%
2:2
4%
0:0
3.9%
1:2
3.4%
0:1
3.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Hibernian Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 72% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.39 |
| Market Odds | 1.48 |
Team Comparison
| Hibernian | Kilmarnock | |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | League Position | 11 |
| 51 | Points | 28 |
| 39% | Win % | 18% |
| 1.55 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.12 |
| 1.12 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.97 |
Venue Form
Hibernian at Home
W0
D1
L4
(5 games)
Kilmarnock Away
W2
D1
L2
(5 games)
Recent Form
Hibernian
L
D
L
L
L
Kilmarnock
L
W
D
W
L
