1
5%
Home Win
20.53
X
11%
Draw
9.1
2
84%
Away Win
1.19
xG Home
0.58
xG Away
2.88
Over 2.5 Goals
67%
BTTS
41%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Gwangju FC an expected 0.6 goals and Ulsan Hyundai FC an expected 2.9 goals. Gwangju FC have a 5% win probability, draw stands at 11%, and Ulsan Hyundai FC at 84%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–2. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 67%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:2
13%
0:3
12.5%
0:4
9%
0:1
9%
1:2
7.5%
1:3
7.3%
1:4
5.2%
1:1
5.2%
0:0
3.1%
2:2
2.2%
2:3
2.1%
1:0
1.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Ulsan Hyundai FC Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 84% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.19 |
| Market Odds | 1.27 |
Team Comparison
| Gwangju FC | Ulsan Hyundai FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | League Position | 4 |
| 7 | Points | 26 |
| 7% | Win % | 53% |
| 0.47 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.47 |
| 2.47 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.33 |
