1
9%
Home Win
11.57
X
20%
Draw
5.06
2
72%
Away Win
1.4
xG Home
0.49
xG Away
1.91
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
BTTS
33%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Gwangju FC an expected 0.5 goals and Pohang Steelers an expected 1.9 goals. Gwangju FC have a 9% win probability, draw stands at 20%, and Pohang Steelers at 72%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 57%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
17.3%
0:2
16.5%
0:3
10.5%
0:0
9%
1:1
8.5%
1:2
8.1%
1:3
5.2%
0:4
5%
1:0
4.4%
1:4
2.5%
2:1
2.1%
2:2
2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Pohang Steelers Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 72% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.39 |
| Market Odds | 1.48 |
Team Comparison
| Gwangju FC | Pohang Steelers | |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | League Position | 4 |
| 10 | Points | 28 |
| 5% | Win % | 42% |
| 0.53 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.05 |
| 2.26 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
Venue Form
Gwangju FC at Home
W0
D2
L1
(3 games)
Pohang Steelers Away
W2
D0
L2
(4 games)
Recent Form
Gwangju FC
D
L
D
Pohang Steelers
L
L
W
W
