Gwangju FC vs Pohang Steelers Prediction

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0 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sat, 11 Jul 2026 · K League 1
1 8%
Home Win 12.85
X 21%
Draw 4.8
2 71%
Away Win 1.4
xG Home 0.41
xG Away 1.79
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
BTTS 28%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Gwangju FC an expected 0.4 goals and Pohang Steelers an expected 1.8 goals. Gwangju FC have a 8% win probability, draw stands at 21%, and Pohang Steelers at 71%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 62%.

Correct Score Predictions

0:1 19.8%
0:2 17.7%
0:0 11.1%
0:3 10.6%
1:1 8.1%
1:2 7.3%
0:4 4.7%
1:0 4.5%
1:3 4.3%
1:4 1.9%
2:1 1.7%
2:2 1.5%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Pohang Steelers Win
Probability 71%
Predicted Odds 1.41
Market Odds 1.5

Team Comparison

Gwangju FC Pohang Steelers
12 League Position 5
8 Points 25
6% Win % 44%
0.5 Avg Goals Scored 0.94
2.38 Avg Goals Conceded 0.88

Venue Form

Gwangju FC at Home
W0 D1 L0 (1 games)
0% win rate
Pohang Steelers Away
W1 D0 L0 (1 games)
100% win rate

Recent Form

Gwangju FC
D
Pohang Steelers
W