1
14%
Home Win
7.04
X
23%
Draw
4.31
2
63%
Away Win
1.6
xG Home
0.67
xG Away
1.72
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
BTTS
40%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Gwangju FC an expected 0.7 goals and Gimcheon Sangmu FC an expected 1.7 goals. Gwangju FC have a 14% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and Gimcheon Sangmu FC at 63%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 57%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
15.7%
0:2
13.5%
1:1
10.6%
0:0
9.1%
1:2
9.1%
0:3
7.7%
1:0
6.1%
1:3
5.2%
2:1
3.6%
0:4
3.3%
2:2
3.1%
1:4
2.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Gimcheon Sangmu FC Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Gwangju FC | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | League Position | 11 |
| 10 | Points | 17 |
| 5% | Win % | 11% |
| 0.53 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.95 |
| 2.26 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.37 |
Venue Form
Gwangju FC at Home
W0
D2
L1
(3 games)
Gimcheon Sangmu FC Away
W0
D1
L1
(2 games)
Recent Form
Gwangju FC
D
L
D
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
D
L
Head to Head
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
1 : 1
Gwangju FC
D
Gwangju FC
1 : 1
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
D
Gwangju FC
1 : 0
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
L
