1
2%
Home Win
50.76
X
7%
Draw
14.39
2
90%
Away Win
1.11
xG Home
0.36
xG Away
3.25
Over 2.5 Goals
69%
BTTS
29%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Gwangju FC an expected 0.4 goals and FC Seoul an expected 3.3 goals. Gwangju FC have a 2% win probability, draw stands at 7%, and FC Seoul at 90%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–3. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 69%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:3
15.4%
0:2
14.2%
0:4
12.5%
0:1
8.8%
1:3
5.6%
1:2
5.2%
1:4
4.6%
1:1
3.2%
0:0
2.7%
2:3
1%
1:0
1%
2:2
0.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | FC Seoul Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 90% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.11 |
| Market Odds | 1.18 |
Team Comparison
| Gwangju FC | FC Seoul | |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | League Position | 1 |
| 10 | Points | 42 |
| 5% | Win % | 68% |
| 0.53 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.79 |
| 2.26 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.74 |
Venue Form
Gwangju FC at Home
W0
D2
L1
(3 games)
FC Seoul Away
W1
D0
L0
(1 games)
Recent Form
Gwangju FC
D
L
D
FC Seoul
W
