1
42%
Home Win
2.4
X
25%
Draw
4.04
2
34%
Away Win
2.97
xG Home
1.53
xG Away
1.35
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
BTTS
58%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Guadalajara Chivas an expected 1.5 goals and U.N.A.M. - Pumas an expected 1.4 goals. Guadalajara Chivas have a 42% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and U.N.A.M. - Pumas at 34%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 55%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.6%
2:1
8.9%
1:0
8.6%
1:2
7.8%
0:1
7.6%
2:0
6.6%
2:2
6%
0:0
5.6%
0:2
5.1%
3:1
4.5%
1:3
3.5%
3:0
3.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Guadalajara Chivas Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 42% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.38 |
| Market Odds | 2.53 |
Team Comparison
| Guadalajara Chivas | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | League Position | 1 |
| 36 | Points | 36 |
| 65% | Win % | 59% |
| 1.94 | Avg Goals Scored | 2 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
Venue Form
Guadalajara Chivas at Home
W3
D1
L1
(5 games)
U.N.A.M. - Pumas Away
W3
D2
L1
(6 games)
Recent Form
Guadalajara Chivas
W
L
W
D
W
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
W
D
L
D
W
