1
49%
Home Win
2.03
X
25%
Draw
4.05
2
26%
Away Win
3.82
xG Home
1.62
xG Away
1.11
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
BTTS
54%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Guadalajara Chivas an expected 1.6 goals and Tigres UANL an expected 1.1 goals. Guadalajara Chivas have a 49% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Tigres UANL at 26%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 51%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.7%
1:0
10.5%
2:1
9.5%
2:0
8.5%
0:1
7.2%
1:2
6.5%
0:0
6.5%
2:2
5.3%
3:1
5.1%
3:0
4.6%
0:2
4%
3:2
2.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Guadalajara Chivas Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 49% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.04 |
| Market Odds | 2.17 |
Team Comparison
| Guadalajara Chivas | Tigres UANL | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | League Position | 7 |
| 36 | Points | 25 |
| 65% | Win % | 41% |
| 1.94 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.65 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.06 |
Venue Form
Guadalajara Chivas at Home
W3
D1
L1
(5 games)
Tigres UANL Away
W0
D2
L2
(4 games)
Recent Form
Guadalajara Chivas
W
L
W
D
W
Tigres UANL
L
D
D
L
