Guadalajara Chivas vs FC Juarez Prediction

Live Match Centre & Lineups ›
2 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sat, 25 Jul 2026 · Liga MX
1 75%
Home Win 1.33
X 14%
Draw 7.08
2 11%
Away Win 9.4
xG Home 2.88
xG Away 1.03
Over 2.5 Goals 75%
BTTS 61%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Guadalajara Chivas an expected 2.9 goals and FC Juarez an expected 1.0 goals. Guadalajara Chivas have a 75% win probability, draw stands at 14%, and FC Juarez at 11%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 75%.

Correct Score Predictions

2:1 8.6%
2:0 8.3%
3:1 8.2%
3:0 7.9%
1:1 5.9%
4:1 5.9%
1:0 5.7%
4:0 5.7%
2:2 4.4%
3:2 4.2%
1:2 3.1%
4:2 3.1%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Guadalajara Chivas Win
Probability 45%
Predicted Odds 2.22
Market Odds 2.36

Team Comparison

Guadalajara Chivas FC Juarez
2 League Position 12
36 Points 19
65% Win % 29%
1.94 Avg Goals Scored 1.53
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.88

Venue Form

Guadalajara Chivas at Home
W3 D1 L1 (5 games)
60% win rate
FC Juarez Away
W0 D0 L3 (3 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Guadalajara Chivas
W L W D W
FC Juarez
L L L

Head to Head

14 Jan 2026 Liga MX
FC Juarez 0 : 1 Guadalajara Chivas
W
16 Aug 2025 Liga MX
Guadalajara Chivas 1 : 2 FC Juarez
W
16 Mar 2025 Liga MX
FC Juarez 1 : 1 Guadalajara Chivas
D