1
46%
Home Win
2.15
X
24%
Draw
4.08
2
29%
Away Win
3.44
xG Home
1.62
xG Away
1.23
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
BTTS
57%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Guadalajara Chivas an expected 1.6 goals and Cruz Azul an expected 1.2 goals. Guadalajara Chivas have a 46% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Cruz Azul at 29%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 54%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.5%
1:0
9.3%
2:1
9.3%
2:0
7.6%
0:1
7.1%
1:2
7.1%
0:0
5.8%
2:2
5.8%
3:1
5%
0:2
4.4%
3:0
4.1%
3:2
3.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Cruz Azul Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Guadalajara Chivas | Cruz Azul | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | League Position | 3 |
| 36 | Points | 33 |
| 65% | Win % | 53% |
| 1.94 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.82 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.06 |
Venue Form
Guadalajara Chivas at Home
W3
D1
L1
(5 games)
Cruz Azul Away
W2
D1
L0
(3 games)
Recent Form
Guadalajara Chivas
W
L
W
D
W
Cruz Azul
W
W
D
Head to Head
Cruz Azul
2 : 2
Guadalajara Chivas
D
Cruz Azul
2 : 1
Guadalajara Chivas
L
Cruz Azul
3 : 2
Guadalajara Chivas
L
