1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.26
xG Away
0.93
Over 2.5 Goals
38%
BTTS
44%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Gornik Zabrze an expected 1.3 goals and Legia Warszawa an expected 0.9 goals. Gornik Zabrze have a 44% win probability, draw stands at 29%, and Legia Warszawa at 27%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 62%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
14%
1:1
13.1%
0:0
11.1%
0:1
10.4%
2:0
8.9%
2:1
8.3%
1:2
6.1%
0:2
4.8%
2:2
3.9%
3:0
3.7%
3:1
3.5%
1:3
1.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Gornik Zabrze Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 44% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.27 |
| Market Odds | 2.42 |
Team Comparison
| Gornik Zabrze | Legia Warszawa | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | League Position | 6 |
| 56 | Points | 49 |
| 47% | Win % | 35% |
| 1.47 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.24 |
| 1.12 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.09 |
Venue Form
Gornik Zabrze at Home
W2
D0
L1
(3 games)
Legia Warszawa Away
W5
D0
L1
(6 games)
Recent Form
Gornik Zabrze
W
L
W
Legia Warszawa
W
W
W
W
L