Gornik Zabrze vs Legia Warszawa Prediction

1 – 0
Most Likely Score
Fri, 30 Oct 2026 · Ekstraklasa
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.26
xG Away 0.93
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
BTTS 44%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Gornik Zabrze an expected 1.3 goals and Legia Warszawa an expected 0.9 goals. Gornik Zabrze have a 44% win probability, draw stands at 29%, and Legia Warszawa at 27%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 62%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:0 14%
1:1 13.1%
0:0 11.1%
0:1 10.4%
2:0 8.9%
2:1 8.3%
1:2 6.1%
0:2 4.8%
2:2 3.9%
3:0 3.7%
3:1 3.5%
1:3 1.9%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Gornik Zabrze Win
Probability 44%
Predicted Odds 2.27
Market Odds 2.42

Team Comparison

Gornik Zabrze Legia Warszawa
2 League Position 6
56 Points 49
47% Win % 35%
1.47 Avg Goals Scored 1.24
1.12 Avg Goals Conceded 1.09

Venue Form

Gornik Zabrze at Home
W2 D0 L1 (3 games)
67% win rate
Legia Warszawa Away
W5 D0 L1 (6 games)
83% win rate

Recent Form

Gornik Zabrze
W L W
Legia Warszawa
W W W W L