Cracovia Krakow vs Motor Lublin Prediction

1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Fri, 30 Oct 2026 · Ekstraklasa
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.41
xG Away 1.13
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
BTTS 51%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Cracovia Krakow an expected 1.4 goals and Motor Lublin an expected 1.1 goals. Cracovia Krakow have a 43% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Motor Lublin at 30%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 53%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 12.6%
1:0 11.1%
0:1 8.9%
2:1 8.9%
0:0 7.9%
2:0 7.8%
1:2 7.1%
0:2 5%
2:2 5%
3:1 4.2%
3:0 3.7%
1:3 2.7%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Cracovia Krakow Win
Probability 43%
Predicted Odds 2.33
Market Odds 2.47

Team Comparison

Cracovia Krakow Motor Lublin
13 League Position 12
42 Points 43
26% Win % 29%
1.15 Avg Goals Scored 1.35
1.24 Avg Goals Conceded 1.56

Venue Form

Cracovia Krakow at Home
W0 D2 L1 (3 games)
0% win rate
Motor Lublin Away
W1 D1 L1 (3 games)
33% win rate

Recent Form

Cracovia Krakow
L D D
Motor Lublin
D W L