Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Jeju United FC Prediction

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1 – 0
Most Likely Score
Sun, 05 Jul 2026 · K League 1
1 43%
Home Win 2.3
X 29%
Draw 3.42
2 27%
Away Win 3.66
xG Home 1.22
xG Away 0.91
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
BTTS 42%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Gimcheon Sangmu FC an expected 1.2 goals and Jeju United FC an expected 0.9 goals. Gimcheon Sangmu FC have a 43% win probability, draw stands at 29%, and Jeju United FC at 27%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 64%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:0 14.5%
1:1 13.2%
0:0 11.9%
0:1 10.8%
2:0 8.9%
2:1 8.1%
1:2 6%
0:2 4.9%
2:2 3.7%
3:0 3.6%
3:1 3.3%
1:3 1.8%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Jeju United FC Win
Probability 45%
Predicted Odds 2.22
Market Odds 2.36

Head to Head

18 Apr 2026 K League 1
Jeju United FC 1 : 1 Gimcheon Sangmu FC
D
26 Jul 2025 K League 1
Gimcheon Sangmu FC 3 : 1 Jeju United FC
W
17 May 2025 K League 1
Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1 : 1 Jeju United FC
D