1
35%
Home Win
2.85
X
31%
Draw
3.2
2
34%
Away Win
2.96
xG Home
0.99
xG Away
0.97
Over 2.5 Goals
31%
BTTS
39%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Gimcheon Sangmu FC an expected 1.0 goals and Jeju United FC an expected 1.0 goals. Gimcheon Sangmu FC have a 35% win probability, draw stands at 31%, and Jeju United FC at 34%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 69%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:0
14.1%
1:0
14%
0:1
13.6%
1:1
13.5%
2:0
6.9%
2:1
6.7%
0:2
6.6%
1:2
6.5%
2:2
3.2%
3:0
2.3%
3:1
2.2%
0:3
2.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Gimcheon Sangmu FC Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 35% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.86 |
| Market Odds | 3.04 |
Team Comparison
| Gimcheon Sangmu FC | Jeju United FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | League Position | 8 |
| 14 | Points | 18 |
| 13% | Win % | 33% |
| 1 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.87 |
| 1.4 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.07 |
