GIL Vicente vs Guimaraes — Prediction

1 – 0
Most likely score (model)
Mon, 02 Nov 2026 · Primeira Liga
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
2 Nov 2026, 20:15 UTC
Competition
Primeira Liga
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

GIL Vicente
  • GIL Vicente 0–1 FC Porto
  • GIL Vicente 1–1 Marítimo
  • Benfica 1–1 GIL Vicente
  • GIL Vicente 0–1 Académico Viseu
  • Sporting CP 3–0 GIL Vicente
Guimaraes
  • Guimaraes 5–0 Marítimo
  • Guimaraes 1–1 Moreirense
  • Académico Viseu 1–0 Guimaraes
  • Guimaraes 0–0 Casa Pia AC
  • Nacional 2–0 Guimaraes
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: GIL Vicente 34 · Guimaraes 34. Data saved: 2026-11-02 00:00 UTC.

Table season: 2025

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: GIL Vicente 49% · 2026-11-02 02:30 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

Model goal expectation · 1 1.67
Model goal expectation · 2 0.88
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
BTTS 48%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: GIL Vicente 1.67 · Guimaraes 0.88.
1 56% · X 24% · 2 20%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:0 13%
1:1 11.5%
2:0 10.8%
2:1 9.6%
0:0 7.8%
0:1 6.9%
3:0 6%
3:1 5.3%
1:2 5.1%
2:2 4.2%
0:2 3%
4:0 2.5%

About this assessment

Model outcome GIL Vicente Win
Probability 56%
Predicted Odds 1.79

Team Comparison

GIL Vicente Guimaraes
6 League Position 9
50 Points 42
38% Win % 35%
1.38 Avg Goals Scored 1.15
1.12 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5

Venue Form

GIL Vicente at Home
W0 D1 L2 (3 games)
0% win rate
Guimaraes Away
W0 D0 L2 (2 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

GIL Vicente
L D D L L
Guimaraes
W D L D L