Galatasaray vs Kocaelispor FK Prediction

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2 – 0
Most Likely Score
Sun, 13 Sep 2026 · Süper Lig
1 75%
Home Win 1.33
X 18%
Draw 5.63
2 7%
Away Win 13.74
xG Home 2.06
xG Away 0.47
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
BTTS 33%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Galatasaray an expected 2.1 goals and Kocaelispor FK an expected 0.5 goals. Galatasaray have a 75% win probability, draw stands at 18%, and Kocaelispor FK at 7%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 54%.

Correct Score Predictions

2:0 16.9%
1:0 16.4%
3:0 11.6%
0:0 8%
2:1 8%
1:1 7.7%
4:0 6%
3:1 5.5%
0:1 3.7%
4:1 2.8%
2:2 1.9%
1:2 1.8%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Galatasaray Win
Probability 75%
Predicted Odds 1.33
Market Odds 1.42

Team Comparison

Galatasaray Kocaelispor FK
1 League Position 11
77 Points 37
71% Win % 26%
2.26 Avg Goals Scored 0.76
0.88 Avg Goals Conceded 1.12

Venue Form

Galatasaray at Home
W2 D0 L0 (2 games)
100% win rate
Kocaelispor FK Away
W0 D1 L1 (2 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Galatasaray
W W
Kocaelispor FK
D L