FK Jablonec vs Plzen Prediction

1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sun, 18 Oct 2026 · Czech Liga
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.27
xG Away 1.29
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
BTTS 52%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives FK Jablonec an expected 1.3 goals and Plzen an expected 1.3 goals. FK Jablonec have a 36% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and Plzen at 37%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 53%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 12.7%
0:1 9.9%
1:0 9.8%
1:2 8.2%
2:1 8.1%
0:0 7.7%
0:2 6.4%
2:0 6.2%
2:2 5.2%
1:3 3.5%
3:1 3.4%
0:3 2.8%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Plzen Win
Probability 37%
Predicted Odds 2.7
Market Odds 2.88

Team Comparison

FK Jablonec Plzen
4 League Position 3
51 Points 53
50% Win % 50%
1.37 Avg Goals Scored 1.67
1.1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.13

Venue Form

FK Jablonec at Home
W2 D1 L1 (4 games)
50% win rate
Plzen Away
W1 D1 L1 (3 games)
33% win rate

Recent Form

FK Jablonec
D W L W
Plzen
L D W