FK Jablonec vs Baník Ostrava Prediction

1 – 0
Most Likely Score
Wed, 09 Sep 2026 · Czech Liga
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.68
xG Away 0.65
Over 2.5 Goals 41%
BTTS 39%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives FK Jablonec an expected 1.7 goals and Baník Ostrava an expected 0.6 goals. FK Jablonec have a 63% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Baník Ostrava at 14%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 59%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:0 16.4%
2:0 13.8%
1:1 10.6%
0:0 9.7%
2:1 8.9%
3:0 7.7%
0:1 6.3%
3:1 5%
1:2 3.4%
4:0 3.3%
2:2 2.9%
4:1 2.1%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick FK Jablonec Win
Probability 63%
Predicted Odds 1.59
Market Odds 1.69

Team Comparison

FK Jablonec Baník Ostrava
4 League Position 16
51 Points 22
50% Win % 17%
1.37 Avg Goals Scored 0.83
1.1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5

Venue Form

FK Jablonec at Home
W2 D1 L1 (4 games)
50% win rate
Baník Ostrava Away
W1 D1 L2 (4 games)
25% win rate

Recent Form

FK Jablonec
D W L W
Baník Ostrava
D L L W