FC Zurich vs FC Luzern Prediction

1 – 2
Most Likely Score
Sat, 24 Oct 2026 · Super League
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.67
xG Away 2.11
Over 2.5 Goals 73%
BTTS 71%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives FC Zurich an expected 1.7 goals and FC Luzern an expected 2.1 goals. FC Zurich have a 31% win probability, draw stands at 21%, and FC Luzern at 48%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–2. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 73%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:2 8.5%
1:1 8%
2:2 7.1%
2:1 6.7%
1:3 6%
0:2 5.1%
2:3 5%
0:1 4.8%
3:2 4%
1:0 3.8%
3:1 3.8%
0:3 3.6%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick FC Luzern Win
Probability 48%
Predicted Odds 2.08
Market Odds 2.22

Team Comparison

FC Zurich FC Luzern
10 League Position 7
34 Points 40
30% Win % 30%
1.36 Avg Goals Scored 1.94
1.91 Avg Goals Conceded 1.85

Venue Form

FC Zurich at Home
W2 D0 L0 (2 games)
100% win rate
FC Luzern Away
W0 D1 L0 (1 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

FC Zurich
W W
FC Luzern
D