1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.67
xG Away
2.11
Over 2.5 Goals
73%
BTTS
71%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives FC Zurich an expected 1.7 goals and FC Luzern an expected 2.1 goals. FC Zurich have a 31% win probability, draw stands at 21%, and FC Luzern at 48%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–2. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 73%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:2
8.5%
1:1
8%
2:2
7.1%
2:1
6.7%
1:3
6%
0:2
5.1%
2:3
5%
0:1
4.8%
3:2
4%
1:0
3.8%
3:1
3.8%
0:3
3.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | FC Luzern Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 48% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.08 |
| Market Odds | 2.22 |
Team Comparison
| FC Zurich | FC Luzern | |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | League Position | 7 |
| 34 | Points | 40 |
| 30% | Win % | 30% |
| 1.36 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.94 |
| 1.91 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.85 |
Venue Form
FC Zurich at Home
W2
D0
L0
(2 games)
FC Luzern Away
W0
D1
L0
(1 games)
Recent Form
FC Zurich
W
W
FC Luzern
D