1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
2.97
xG Away
0.77
Over 2.5 Goals
72%
BTTS
51%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives FC Thun an expected 3.0 goals and Grasshoppers an expected 0.8 goals. FC Thun have a 81% win probability, draw stands at 12%, and Grasshoppers at 7%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 72%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:0
10.4%
3:0
10.3%
2:1
8.1%
3:1
8%
4:0
7.7%
1:0
7%
4:1
5.9%
1:1
5.4%
2:2
3.1%
3:2
3.1%
0:0
2.4%
4:2
2.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | FC Thun Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 81% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.23 |
| Market Odds | 1.31 |
Team Comparison
| FC Thun | Grasshoppers | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 11 |
| 74 | Points | 27 |
| 73% | Win % | 18% |
| 2.27 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.21 |
| 1.12 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.97 |
Venue Form
FC Thun at Home
W0
D0
L3
(3 games)
Grasshoppers Away
W1
D1
L1
(3 games)
Recent Form
FC Thun
L
L
L
Grasshoppers
L
W
D