1
80%
Home Win
1.24
X
12%
Draw
8.18
2
7%
Away Win
14.2
xG Home
2.92
xG Away
0.78
Over 2.5 Goals
71%
BTTS
51%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives FC Thun an expected 2.9 goals and Grasshoppers an expected 0.8 goals. FC Thun have a 80% win probability, draw stands at 12%, and Grasshoppers at 7%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 71%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:0
10.5%
3:0
10.3%
2:1
8.2%
3:1
8%
4:0
7.5%
1:0
7.2%
4:1
5.9%
1:1
5.6%
2:2
3.2%
3:2
3.1%
0:0
2.5%
4:2
2.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | FC Thun Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 80% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.25 |
| Market Odds | 1.33 |
Team Comparison
| FC Thun | Grasshoppers | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 11 |
| 71 | Points | 24 |
| 72% | Win % | 16% |
| 2.25 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.23 |
| 1.13 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.97 |
Venue Form
FC Thun at Home
W0
D0
L1
(1 games)
Grasshoppers Away
W0
D1
L0
(1 games)
Recent Form
FC Thun
L
Grasshoppers
D