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FC Thun vs FC Basel 1893 — Prediction

2 – 0
Most likely score (model)
Sun, 08 Nov 2026 · Super League
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
8 Nov 2026, 15:30 UTC
Competition
Super League
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

FC Thun
  • FC Thun 3–1 Heart of Midlothian
  • FC Thun 2–3 FC Lugano
  • FC Thun 0–1 HNK Hajduk Split
  • FC Twente 1–0 FC Thun
  • FC Vaduz 1–2 FC Thun
FC Basel 1893
  • FC Basel 1893 0–0 Grasshoppers
  • FC Vaduz 3–0 FC Basel 1893
  • FC Basel 1893 1–3 FC St. Gallen
  • FC Luzern 2–4 FC Basel 1893
  • FC Basel 1893 1–3 FC Lugano
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: FC Thun 33 · FC Basel 1893 33. Data saved: 2026-11-07 02:00 UTC.

The season of the saved table is not identified; these figures must not be read as current-season totals.

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: FC Thun 62% · 2026-11-07 02:20 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

Model goal expectation · 1 2.06
Model goal expectation · 2 0.99
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
BTTS 55%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: FC Thun 2.06 · FC Basel 1893 0.99.
1 62% · X 21% · 2 17%.

Correct Score Predictions

2:0 10.1%
2:1 9.9%
1:0 9.8%
1:1 9.7%
3:0 6.9%
3:1 6.8%
2:2 4.9%
1:2 4.8%
0:0 4.8%
0:1 4.7%
4:0 3.6%
4:1 3.5%

About this assessment

Model outcome FC Thun Win
Probability 62%
Predicted Odds 1.61

Team Comparison

FC Thun FC Basel 1893
1 League Position 4
74 Points 53
73% Win % 45%
2.27 Avg Goals Scored 1.55
1.12 Avg Goals Conceded 1.36

Venue Form

FC Thun at Home
W1 D0 L2 (3 games)
33% win rate
FC Basel 1893 Away
W1 D0 L1 (2 games)
50% win rate

Recent Form

FC Thun
W L L L W
FC Basel 1893
D L L W L

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A practical guide to the information shown here.

01

Read the selected market

A match-winner selection and a goal total answer different questions. Read the outcome before comparing percentages.

02

Check the recording time

A saved estimate belongs to its recording time. Check kickoff and the available match context separately.

03

Inspect comparable outcomes

Use a defined period, sample and market when comparing results. A probability is not a historical hit rate.

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Questions about this context

Answers to help interpret the available information.

Are these probabilities a guarantee?

No. A probability describes a model estimate for a particular selection and recording time; the actual match can finish differently.

Why might this page have no related saved forecasts?

Only relevant fixtures with a verified saved record are shown. The match and prediction catalogues may contain other available information.