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FC St. Gallen vs FC Lugano — Prediction

1 – 1
Most likely score (model)
Sun, 08 Nov 2026 · Super League
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
8 Nov 2026, 13:00 UTC
Competition
Super League
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

FC St. Gallen
  • FC St. Gallen 2–1 Servette FC
  • BSC Young Boys 2–0 FC St. Gallen
  • FC St. Gallen 1–0 Lausanne
  • FC Basel 1893 1–3 FC St. Gallen
  • FC Lugano 4–1 FC St. Gallen
FC Lugano
  • FC Lugano 3–0 Kauno Žalgiris
  • FC Thun 2–3 FC Lugano
  • Getafe 2–5 FC Lugano
  • FC Lugano 3–2 FK Crvena zvezda
  • Lausanne 0–4 FC Lugano
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: FC St. Gallen 33 · FC Lugano 33. Data saved: 2026-11-07 02:00 UTC.

The season of the saved table is not identified; these figures must not be read as current-season totals.

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: FC St. Gallen 55% · 2026-11-07 02:20 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

Model goal expectation · 1 1.48
Model goal expectation · 2 1.05
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
BTTS 50%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: FC St. Gallen 1.48 · FC Lugano 1.05.
1 47% · X 26% · 2 27%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 12.4%
1:0 11.8%
2:1 9.2%
2:0 8.8%
0:1 8.3%
0:0 8%
1:2 6.5%
2:2 4.8%
3:1 4.5%
0:2 4.4%
3:0 4.3%
3:2 2.4%

About this assessment

Model outcome FC St. Gallen Win
Probability 47%
Predicted Odds 2.13

Team Comparison

FC St. Gallen FC Lugano
2 League Position 3
60 Points 57
52% Win % 48%
1.94 Avg Goals Scored 1.52
1.21 Avg Goals Conceded 1.15

Venue Form

FC St. Gallen at Home
W2 D0 L0 (2 games)
100% win rate
FC Lugano Away
W3 D0 L0 (3 games)
100% win rate

Recent Form

FC St. Gallen
W L W W L
FC Lugano
W W W W W

Head to Head

16 Sep 2026 swiss_super
FC Lugano 4 : 1 FC St. Gallen
L

Read the forecast alongside the match

A practical guide to the information shown here.

01

Read the selected market

A match-winner selection and a goal total answer different questions. Read the outcome before comparing percentages.

02

Check the recording time

A saved estimate belongs to its recording time. Check kickoff and the available match context separately.

03

Inspect comparable outcomes

Use a defined period, sample and market when comparing results. A probability is not a historical hit rate.

Inspect the prediction record →

Continue the match analysis

Useful next steps within VARiM.

Questions about this context

Answers to help interpret the available information.

Are these probabilities a guarantee?

No. A probability describes a model estimate for a particular selection and recording time; the actual match can finish differently.

Why might this page have no related saved forecasts?

Only relevant fixtures with a verified saved record are shown. The match and prediction catalogues may contain other available information.