1
48%
Home Win
2.07
X
27%
Draw
3.75
2
25%
Away Win
3.99
xG Home
1.44
xG Away
0.96
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
BTTS
47%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives FC St. Gallen an expected 1.4 goals and FC Sion an expected 1.0 goals. FC St. Gallen have a 48% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and FC Sion at 25%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 57%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
13.1%
1:1
12.5%
2:0
9.4%
0:0
9%
2:1
9%
0:1
8.7%
1:2
6%
3:0
4.5%
3:1
4.4%
2:2
4.3%
0:2
4.2%
3:2
2.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | FC St. Gallen Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 48% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.08 |
| Market Odds | 2.22 |
Team Comparison
| FC St. Gallen | FC Sion | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | League Position | 6 |
| 56 | Points | 46 |
| 52% | Win % | 35% |
| 1.94 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.42 |
| 1.19 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.13 |
