FC St. Gallen vs FC Sion Prediction

1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sat, 12 Sep 2026 · Super League
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.37
xG Away 1.07
Over 2.5 Goals 44%
BTTS 49%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives FC St. Gallen an expected 1.4 goals and FC Sion an expected 1.1 goals. FC St. Gallen have a 44% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and FC Sion at 29%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 56%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 12.8%
1:0 12%
0:1 9.4%
0:0 8.8%
2:1 8.7%
2:0 8.2%
1:2 6.8%
0:2 5%
2:2 4.7%
3:1 4%
3:0 3.7%
1:3 2.4%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick FC St. Gallen Win
Probability 44%
Predicted Odds 2.27
Market Odds 2.42

Team Comparison

FC St. Gallen FC Sion
2 League Position 5
60 Points 52
52% Win % 39%
1.94 Avg Goals Scored 1.55
1.21 Avg Goals Conceded 1.06

Venue Form

FC St. Gallen at Home
W0 D0 L1 (1 games)
0% win rate
FC Sion Away
W2 D0 L0 (2 games)
100% win rate

Recent Form

FC St. Gallen
L
FC Sion
W W