FC Seoul vs Pohang Steelers Prediction

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1 – 0
Most Likely Score
Wed, 22 Jul 2026 · K League 1
1 63%
Home Win 1.59
X 24%
Draw 4.24
2 13%
Away Win 7.43
xG Home 1.68
xG Away 0.62
Over 2.5 Goals 40%
BTTS 38%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives FC Seoul an expected 1.7 goals and Pohang Steelers an expected 0.6 goals. FC Seoul have a 63% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Pohang Steelers at 13%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 60%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:0 16.8%
2:0 14.1%
1:1 10.5%
0:0 10%
2:1 8.8%
3:0 7.9%
0:1 6.3%
3:1 4.9%
4:0 3.3%
1:2 3.3%
2:2 2.7%
4:1 2.1%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick FC Seoul Win
Probability 45%
Predicted Odds 2.22
Market Odds 2.36

Team Comparison

FC Seoul Pohang Steelers
1 League Position 4
42 Points 28
68% Win % 42%
1.79 Avg Goals Scored 1.05
0.74 Avg Goals Conceded 1

Venue Form

FC Seoul at Home
W2 D1 L0 (3 games)
67% win rate
Pohang Steelers Away
W2 D0 L2 (4 games)
50% win rate

Recent Form

FC Seoul
W D W
Pohang Steelers
L L W W

Head to Head

18 Mar 2026 K League 1
Pohang Steelers 0 : 1 FC Seoul
W
09 Nov 2025 K League 1
Pohang Steelers 0 : 0 FC Seoul
D
18 Oct 2025 K League 1
FC Seoul 1 : 2 Pohang Steelers
W