1
43%
Home Win
2.3
X
29%
Draw
3.42
2
27%
Away Win
3.66
xG Home
1.22
xG Away
0.91
Over 2.5 Goals
36%
BTTS
42%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives FC Seoul an expected 1.2 goals and Incheon United an expected 0.9 goals. FC Seoul have a 43% win probability, draw stands at 29%, and Incheon United at 27%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 64%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
14.5%
1:1
13.2%
0:0
11.9%
0:1
10.8%
2:0
8.9%
2:1
8.1%
1:2
6%
0:2
4.9%
2:2
3.7%
3:0
3.6%
3:1
3.3%
1:3
1.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | FC Seoul Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Head to Head
Incheon United
1 : 2
FC Seoul
W
Incheon United
0 : 1
FC Seoul
W
Incheon United
1 : 2
FC Seoul
W
