1
61%
Home Win
1.64
X
22%
Draw
4.57
2
17%
Away Win
5.82
xG Home
1.90
xG Away
0.89
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
BTTS
50%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives FC Seoul an expected 1.9 goals and Incheon United an expected 0.9 goals. FC Seoul have a 61% win probability, draw stands at 22%, and Incheon United at 17%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 53%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
11.7%
2:0
11.1%
1:1
10.4%
2:1
9.9%
3:0
7%
3:1
6.2%
0:0
6.1%
0:1
5.5%
1:2
4.6%
2:2
4.4%
4:0
3.3%
4:1
3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | FC Seoul Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 61% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.64 |
| Market Odds | 1.74 |
Team Comparison
| FC Seoul | Incheon United | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 6 |
| 32 | Points | 21 |
| 67% | Win % | 40% |
| 1.8 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.4 |
| 0.8 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.13 |
