1
25%
Home Win
4
X
31%
Draw
3.24
2
44%
Away Win
2.27
xG Home
0.78
xG Away
1.14
Over 2.5 Goals
30%
BTTS
37%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives FC Rostov an expected 0.8 goals and CSKA Moscow an expected 1.1 goals. FC Rostov have a 25% win probability, draw stands at 31%, and CSKA Moscow at 44%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 70%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
16.7%
0:0
14.6%
1:1
13%
1:0
11.4%
0:2
9.5%
1:2
7.4%
2:1
5.1%
2:0
4.5%
0:3
3.6%
2:2
2.9%
1:3
2.8%
3:1
1.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | CSKA Moscow Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 44% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.27 |
| Market Odds | 2.42 |
Team Comparison
| FC Rostov | CSKA Moscow | |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | League Position | 5 |
| 33 | Points | 51 |
| 27% | Win % | 50% |
| 0.83 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.47 |
| 1.07 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.1 |