1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.76
xG Away
1.63
Over 2.5 Goals
66%
BTTS
66%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives FC Luzern an expected 1.8 goals and FC Basel 1893 an expected 1.6 goals. FC Luzern have a 41% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and FC Basel 1893 at 36%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 66%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
9.7%
2:1
8.5%
1:2
7.9%
2:2
6.9%
1:0
6%
0:1
5.5%
2:0
5.2%
3:1
5%
0:2
4.5%
1:3
4.3%
3:2
4.1%
2:3
3.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | FC Luzern Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 41% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.44 |
| Market Odds | 2.59 |
Team Comparison
| FC Luzern | FC Basel 1893 | |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | League Position | 4 |
| 40 | Points | 53 |
| 30% | Win % | 45% |
| 1.94 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.55 |
| 1.85 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.36 |
Venue Form
FC Luzern at Home
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
FC Basel 1893 Away
W1
D0
L0
(1 games)
Recent Form
FC Luzern
W
L
FC Basel 1893
W
