1
41%
Home Win
2.41
X
23%
Draw
4.38
2
36%
Away Win
2.8
xG Home
1.73
xG Away
1.60
Over 2.5 Goals
65%
BTTS
66%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives FC Luzern an expected 1.7 goals and FC Basel 1893 an expected 1.6 goals. FC Luzern have a 41% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and FC Basel 1893 at 36%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 65%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
9.9%
2:1
8.6%
1:2
7.9%
2:2
6.9%
1:0
6.2%
0:1
5.7%
2:0
5.4%
3:1
5%
0:2
4.6%
1:3
4.2%
3:2
4%
2:3
3.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | FC Luzern Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 41% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.44 |
| Market Odds | 2.59 |
Team Comparison
| FC Luzern | FC Basel 1893 | |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | League Position | 4 |
| 39 | Points | 53 |
| 32% | Win % | 47% |
| 2 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.56 |
| 1.81 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.31 |
