1
53%
Home Win
1.9
X
24%
Draw
4.23
2
24%
Away Win
4.21
xG Home
1.74
xG Away
1.09
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
BTTS
55%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives FC Basel 1893 an expected 1.7 goals and Lausanne an expected 1.1 goals. FC Basel 1893 have a 53% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Lausanne at 24%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 54%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.2%
1:0
10.2%
2:1
9.7%
2:0
8.9%
0:1
6.4%
1:2
6.1%
0:0
5.9%
3:1
5.7%
2:2
5.3%
3:0
5.2%
0:2
3.5%
3:2
3.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | FC Basel 1893 Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 53% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.89 |
| Market Odds | 2.01 |
Team Comparison
| FC Basel 1893 | Lausanne | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | League Position | 8 |
| 53 | Points | 39 |
| 47% | Win % | 31% |
| 1.56 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.47 |
| 1.31 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.69 |
